Sport
Signal: MediumMarket data current
Will the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB season be 19-21 games?
0%
Limited history-0.9pp
24h activity $1KCloses 28 Sept 2026
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Stored Polymarket data currently implies a 1% probability for this outcome, a -1.8pp change over 24 hours. Figures may lag the live source market.
Current implied probability
1%Recent probability movement (down 1.8pp) is weak, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumCurrent
1%
24h Change
-1.8pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
Investigate pack
Movement read, related outcomes, resolution rules, and context in one place. Verify live prices on Polymarket before relying on any figure.
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability changed slightly over 24h. The recorded move is down 1.8pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22+ games | 0.5% | -1.8pp | $976 | active |
| 19-21 games | 0.3% | -0.9pp | $876 | active |
| 13-15 games | 96.7% | +1.5pp | $321 | active |
| 16-18 games | 1.4% | -0.9pp | $403 | active |
| 0-9 games | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| 10-12 games | 0.0% | -46.5pp | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: 98.9% (informational; not an arbitrage claim)
This market will resolve according to the bracket corresponding to the longest winning streak by a single team during the 2026 MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the longest winning streak cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
0%
97%
1%