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Will the Baltimore Orioles have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?

47%Synced 6 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTCStable consensus+0.5pp (24h)

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Current

47%

24h Change

+0.5pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

10

0%25%50%75%100%14:0016:0019:0021:0023:00

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is up 0.5pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $6 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
46.5%
No implied probability
53.5%
Liquidity
$6
Market Activity
$17
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
6 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC
View on Polymarket

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Will the Baltimore Orioles have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve according to the team that records the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the longest winning streak, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more total wins during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team that has the better record against teams over .500. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the longest winning streak cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 28 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC

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