Sport
LowMarket data current
Will David Stone be the first overall pick in the 2027 Pro Football Draft?
41%
Loading the latest market intelligence…
Current implied probability
42%Probability moved sharply over 24h. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
42%
24h Change
+23.9pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Why this may have moved
Attribution is only attempted for meaningful medium- or high-signal moves; thin or low-confidence moves are skipped.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2027 NFL Draft. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Draft is canceled, postponed or not completed by May 9, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 23 Apr 2027, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
41%
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Carr | 45.0% | +20.0pp | $10K | active |
| Sam Leavitt | 42.4% | +23.9pp | $10K | active |
| Brendan Sorsby | 42.0% | -3.0pp | $10K | active |
| Trinidad Chambliss | 41.0% | +33.5pp | $10K | active |
| Leonard Moore | 41.4% | +24.4pp | $10K | active |
| Darian Mensah | 40.0% | +18.5pp | $10K |
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability moved sharply over 24h. The recorded move is up 23.9pp. Signal quality is low because market activity is limited; liquidity is $10K and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
41%
40%
18%
40%
19%
| active |
| Dylan Stewart | 40.0% | +21.0pp | $10K | active |
| Duce Robinson | 41.5% | -3.0pp | $10K | active |
| Arch Manning | 44.5% | +5.0pp | $10K | active |
| Byrum Brown | 43.5% | -1.5pp | $10K | active |
| LaNorris Sellers | 19.0% | -1.0pp | $10K | active |
| Julian Sayin | 18.0% | -1.0pp | $11K | active |
| Jordan Seaton | 39.5% | +22.0pp | $10K | active |
| Dante Moore | 41.0% | +13.0pp | $10K | active |
| David Stone | 41.0% | -0.5pp | $10K | active |
| Drew Mestemaker | 41.5% | +22.5pp | $10K | active |
| John Mateer | 41.0% | +22.5pp | $10K | active |
| Ellis Robinson IV | 41.5% | -3.5pp | $10K | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.