Sport
MediumMarket data current
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
87%
Limited history-5.7pp
Vol $5KCloses 3 Aug 2026
Sport
Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Current implied probability
0%Recent probability movement (down 0.2pp) is moderate, with acceptable but not deep market activity.
Signal: MediumCurrent
0%
24h Change
-0.2pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
14
Movement Read
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is down 0.2pp. Activity is moderate — the move is plausible but not fully confirmed by deep liquidity.
Market Snapshot — read-only
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
- Yes implied probability
- 0.5%
- No implied probability
- 99.5%
- Liquidity
- $8K
- Market Activity
- $15K
- Data Source
- Polymarket
- Last Synced
- 15 Jul 2026, 12:00 UTC
Resolution Rules
Resolves Yes if …
This market will resolve to the player who records the most assists through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who completed more passes during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolves No if …
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
Important caveats
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 3 Aug 2026, 00:00 UTC
Related Markets
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
Sport
MediumMarket data current
Will Bukayo Saka record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4%
Limited history+0.05pp
Vol $543Closes 3 Aug 2026
Sport
LowMarket data current
Will Rodrigo De Paul record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1%
Limited history-0.05pp
Vol $5KCloses 3 Aug 2026
Source event comparison
Related outcomes in one view
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Olise | 86.5% | -5.7pp | $3K | active |
| Lamine Yamal | 0.5% | -0.2pp | $8K | active |
| Bukayo Saka | 3.7% | +0.05pp | $6K | active |
| Rodrigo De Paul | 0.6% | -0.05pp | $4K | active |
| Percy Tau | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Salem Al-Dawsari | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Antonee Robinson | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Hannibal Mejbri | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Luis Díaz | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Eldor Shomurodov | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Alexis Vega | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Hakan Çalhanoğlu | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Aymen Hussein | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Son Heung-min | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Alphonso Davies | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Cédric Bakambu | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Musa Al-Taamari | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Martin Ødegaard | 0.0% | -3.0pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ismael Díaz | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Riyad Mahrez | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ajdin Hrustic | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 0.0% | -0.3pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ermedin Demirović | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Raphinha | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Ryan Mendes | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Luka Modrić | 0.0% | -0.2pp | $0 | resolved |
| Leandro Bacuna | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Adam Hložek | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Gonzalo Plata | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Mohamed Salah | 0.0% | -4.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Florian Wirtz | 0.0% | -2.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Mohammed Kudus | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Frantzdy Pierrot | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Mehdi Taremi | 0.0% | -0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Simon Adingra | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Achraf Hakimi | 0.0% | -0.7pp | $0 | resolved |
| Xavi Simons | 0.0% | -0.05pp | $0 | resolved |
| Miguel Almirón | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Bruno Fernandes | 0.0% | -0.6pp | $0 | resolved |
| Akram Afif | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Andy Robertson | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Dejan Kulusevski | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Granit Xhaka | 0.0% | -0.5pp | $0 | resolved |
| Kevin De Bruyne | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Federico Valverde | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Kaoru Mitoma | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
| Ismaïla Sarr | 0.0% | -0.1pp | $0 | resolved |
| Liberato Cacace | 0.0% | — | $0 | resolved |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.