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Sport

Will Fernando Mendoza be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?

44%Synced 6 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTCLow-confidence move+23.5pp (24h)

Probability moved sharply over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Current

44%

24h Change

+23.5pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

23

0%25%50%75%100%1:007:0012:0018:0023:00

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability moved sharply over 24h. The recorded move is up 23.5pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $52 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
44.0%
No implied probability
56.0%
Liquidity
$52
Market Activity
$0
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
6 Jul 2026, 23:00 UTC
View on Polymarket

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Will Fernando Mendoza be the Raiders' Week 1 starting QB?

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve according to the player that takes the first snap at quarterback for the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. In the event two listed quarterbacks take the field on the first offensive play of the Las Vegas Raiders’ Week 1 game, this market will resolve in favor of the player directly receiving the snap. If neither listed quarterback directly receives the snap, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no official starter has taken the field within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL and/or the Las Vegas Raiders; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 14 Sept 2026, 00:00 UTC

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