EAEventAlpha
Sport

Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-23?

51%Synced 4 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTCLow-confidence move+7.5pp (24h)

Probability moved noticeably over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Current

51%

24h Change

+7.5pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

5

0%25%50%75%100%22:0019:0023:000:001:00

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability moved noticeably over 24h. The recorded move is up 7.5pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $2 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
50.5%
No implied probability
49.5%
Liquidity
$2
Market Activity
$13
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
4 Jul 2026, 01:00 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 23, 2026 If Club Independiente Petrolero wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

Resolution source: https://lfpb.com.bo/. This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 23 May 2026, 21:15 UTC

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