Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
16%
-2.1ppSignal quality is low because the market data is stale.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Probability history will appear after additional syncs.
0%
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Georgia. If no 2026 Georgia Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Georgia Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Resolution deadline: 19 May 2026, 00:00 UTC
Markets with overlapping topics, entities, or events.
16%
-2.1pp84%
+3.0pp89%
-3.5pp10%
+1.8pp70%
-5.5pp1%