Tech/AI
LowMarket data current
Will Ariana Grande feature Zara Larsson on Petal?
0%
Limited history
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Current implied probability
40%Probability moved sharply over 24h. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
40%
24h Change
+30.3pp
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
100
Why this may have moved
Attribution is only attempted for meaningful medium- or high-signal moves; thin or low-confidence moves are skipped.
This market will resolve according to the listed artists who feature on Ariana Grande's album "Petal". To qualify as "featured", the listed artist must be credited on at least one song on the album according to at least one major streaming platform: namely Spotify, Apple Music, Amazon Music, or YouTube Music. If the album fails to release by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 31 Jul 2026, 00:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
0%
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zara Larsson | 0.3% | -0.3pp | $58 | active |
| Imogen Heap | 47.5% | -0.3pp | $11 | active |
| SZA | 47.8% | +4.3pp | $5 | active |
| The Weeknd | 37.9% | +17.4pp | $20 | active |
| Frank Ocean | 50.0% | +0.1pp | $4 | active |
| Tyla | 49.9% | +28.6pp | $3 | active |
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
Probability moved sharply over 24h. The recorded move is up 30.3pp. Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited; liquidity is $8 and 24h volume is unavailable. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
2%
48%
15%
2%
4%
| Doja Cat | 49.9% | +27.1pp | $3 | active |
| Kanye West | 1.5% | +0.4pp | $407 | active |
| Mariah Carey | 1.5% | +0.4pp | $15 | active |
| Taylor Swift | 9.9% | -1.4pp | $18 | active |
| Drake | 41.9% | +15.8pp | $13 | active |
| Troye Sivan | 3.8% | +0.2pp | $15 | active |
| Nicki Minaj | 2.0% | +0.6pp | $345 | active |
| Billie Eilish | 14.5% | +0.05pp | $18 | active |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 40.3% | +30.3pp | $8 | active |
| Doechii | 2.5% | +0.3pp | $8 | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.