Crypto

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

0%Stale dataStale / needs refresh+0.1pp (24h)

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. Signal quality is low because the market data is stale.

Signal: Low

Current

24h Change

+0.1pp

7D Change

Not enough history

30D Change

Not enough history

Snapshots

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

Probability is mostly stable over 24h. The recorded move is up 0.1pp. Signal quality is low because the market data is stale; liquidity is $3K and 24h volume is $49. Treat this as low-confidence and verify on Polymarket.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability: 0.3%
No implied probability: 99.8%
Liquidity: $3K
Market Activity: $5K
Data Source: Polymarket
Last Synced: 2 Jul 2026, 21:52 UTC

View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

-0.05pp

Vol $30KCloses 1 Jan 2027