Crypto
MediumMarket data current
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
84%
Limited history
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Current implied probability
55%Signal quality is low because liquidity is limited.
Signal: LowThis market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.
Current
55%
24h Change
Not enough history
7D Change
Not enough history
30D Change
Not enough history
Snapshots
7
This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.
24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.
Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.
Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.
This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.
Market close time (source timestamp): 1 Jan 2028, 05:00 UTC
Competing outcomes linked by the same source event (source confidence).
84%
Source event comparison
Grouped because Polymarket supplied the same event identifier. Inactive outcomes are retained for context, not promoted as live signals.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h change | Liquidity | State |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $200M | 83.5% | -4.5pp | $23K | active |
| $300M | 63.5% | -0.5pp | $14K | active |
| $800M | 11.6% | +2.3pp | $8K | active |
| $50M | 98.0% | — | $9K | active |
| $500M | 26.5% | — | $5K | active |
| $100M | 97.0% | — | $20K | active |
64%
12%
98%
27%
97%
| $1B | 6.6% | +2.1pp | $7K | active |
| $150M | 54.5% | — | $28 | active |
| $400M | 50.0% | — | $25 | active |
| $250M | 50.0% | — | $42 | active |
| $450M | 49.0% | — | $31 | active |
| $350M | 42.0% | — | $737 | active |
| $550M | 50.0% | — | $28 | active |
| $600M | 49.0% | — | $36 | active |
Probability sum: Unavailable — source structure does not establish mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcomes.