EAEventAlpha
Politics

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

2%Stale dataStale / needs refresh

Signal quality is low because the market data is stale.

Signal: Low

Low-confidence movement

This market has limited liquidity/activity, so recent probability moves may be distorted by small trades or sparse updates.

Probability history will appear after additional syncs.

2%

Movement Read

This page helps you check whether the move is fresh, meaningful, low-confidence, or near resolution before opening the source market.

24h probability change is not available. Treat current pricing as a snapshot until more history accumulates.

Low liquidity can exaggerate probability moves. Treat this as a weak signal unless confirmed by higher volume or external context.

Market Snapshot — read-only

Implied probabilities from synced Polymarket data. EventAlpha does not support trading.

Yes implied probability
1.9%
No implied probability
98.0%
Liquidity
$8K
Market Activity
$589
Data Source
Polymarket
Last Synced
30 Jun 2026, 20:18 UTC
View on Polymarket

Resolution Rules

Resolves Yes if …

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolves No if …

No otherwise — if the Yes condition is not satisfied by the resolution criteria.

Important caveats

This market resolves according to the source market rules. Review the source market before relying on this interpretation.

Resolution deadline: 30 Jun 2026, 00:00 UTC

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